Line Movement: Start making money off betting line movements In-depth sports betting analysis, wager line movement tips, sportsbook betting insight

3Oct/090

Make more money betting on NFL Week 4

The most hyped about match-up of this 2010 NFL betting season is here. Everyone will be betting on Brett Favre wearing the purple against his former GB Packers.

So if everyone is betting on this GB vs. MN match-up, why are we telling you to bet on the Bengals vs. Browns match-up?

It's exactly because the betting public is distracted by some of the key games, because of the weak teams involved, and most importantly, because the betting line movements for this game have already seen it sway from -3.5 to -6 on some sportsbooks. These are the type of betting situations you want.

1. Games that the betting public may not betting on at all, leading to easier line movements when any money is placed on it.

2. Games where the bookmakers might not be focusing on as tightly as they should be.

3. Divisional games where the data, news, reports, and trends are all these to give you all the info you would need to place a winning bet while working the line movement to control your winnings/risk

NFL Week 4 is stacked with great games and we wish you the best on all of them. Don't get discouraged by last week's upsets, use them as a reason you need to control your bankroll even tighter so you can minimize risk and dive deeper into the data to support your bets.

Do your research, pick your big losers of the week, and drop your bets in now.

1Oct/090

Bet on the 2009-2010 NHL Season

Tonight is opening night of that little league where people play on the ice.

Sure it's not America's favorite sport, it might confuse a lot people, and it's hard to bet on because of the low number of goals. BUT, like any sport, there are ways for smart bettors to make money.

Even if you can't name more than 10 NHL players, here are some tips on making more from your online hockey bets:

  1. Know the teams, all of them. Don't get caught up in betting only on the familiar teams. Because the league relies so heavily on divisional rivalries and because goalies can change a game completely, knowing the background of some of the heated rivals is good to know.
  2. Generally bet on goalies, not teams. Goalies are game changers, but almost half the teams run time-shares on the position or can often sit their #1 starter. Beware betting until you know exactly who is in goal. Any changes to the starter will result in huge line movements with nhl betting and a great opportunity.
  3. US media does not cover the NHL properly so use Canadian or fantasy sports sources to track nagging or unreported injuries if you have no other options. With 15 skaters, chances are half of them have some sort of injuries. How well you understand the actual injuries, not the listed injury report, will make you money. With star players in the 22-26 minute range (40-45% of the game), any minor injury can knock their time down by (10-30%).
  4. Beware of over-time situations. Making money from NHL betting is very possible and pays, but having your bet washed out by overtime can kill that rush. In tight betting matchups trend towards player bets or total goals bets. Betting on the Devils vs. Canucks might be too dangerous otherwise because of the quality of goalies.
  5. Pick on the sportsbook who are obviously not paying attention to the real NHL. Bookies are lazy and you shouldn't be. Find books that have easy lines, late line movements, and limited betting options if altogether this ads up to much higher payouts for you.

23Sep/090

Betting impact of MLB teams clinching the playoffs

As much as the sports radio and tv want to keep talking about the Major League Baseball playoff races as being still active, almost every single one of them is done.

When looking at the standings the AL Central Detroit vs. Minnesota race is the only one with a real shot of turning into an all-out war 'til the last game.

What bettors and line movement specialists need to know is that as much as the media want every other divisional race not to be over, they are. If you want to make money of line movements over these last weeks of the baseball betting season, follow these instructions to pin-point your next winning wager.

  1. Isolate teams with injuries, they are most likely to sit key players (Boston)
  2. Target teams which will sit players in case of blow-outs, bad weather conditions, or have absolutely no change of missing the playoffs (St Louis)
  3. Find key pitchers who are reaching pitch-counts or need to rest to be effective in the playoffs (Beckett, Joba, Carpenter)
  4. Pinpoint the teams that have a bench full high value rookies or very valuable veterans that need to get into the rotation before the playoffs start (St-Louis, Colorado, Boston)

Once you've done these things, bettors that want to make money from MLB line movements now have a simple recipe for success:

  1. Follow weather conditions the night before, this will impact the line-up
  2. Keep an ear out for pitch-count talk from the coaching staff and decide how much that should effect the bet
  3. Monitor starting line-ups about 30-90 minutes before game-time. If key players are sitting and you see a good money-making opportunity, jump on it.
  4. Place your bets and wait to win.

19Sep/091

Bet on UFC 103 / Bet on Mayweather vs Marquez

Saturday September 19th
A huge night for MMA and boxing bettors, much more than for actual MMA and boxing fans. While both events may not be the top-of-the-line match ups that the general public choose ahead of football or playoff-hunt baseball, these are the types of events that will make bettors consider putting their money on something other than betting NFL, betting NCAA, or betting MLB.

We don't want to sound like we're beating a dead horse here, but these overwhelming weekends of sports are the ideal scenarios for smart bettors like you to increase your bank roll and carry even more money into the meat of the NFL betting season.

Line movements depend on a highly excited public and with these events being hidden below a few layers of competing league PR offices, either the event lines will be managed poorly or they the action will be overweight against the general expectations of the action. The undercard on this UFC event may only receive 50-100 wagers at most online sportsbooks and that leaves alot of room for aggressive betting behaviour if you can target poor lines or lines that have moved strictly to cover.

Keep your eyes on the newswire and insider updates because you are likely to be able ot adjust your betting tactic off of breaking news much faster than bookies would be able to move the betting line.

9Sep/090

Make the most money possible out of sportsbooks with NFL betting: week 1 pt2

Ok, we're here. Season kick-off and www.linemovement.com is going to help you win more money from sportsbooks and stretch your online betting dollar.

As mentioned in part one, your advantage with NFL betting is highest now. Smart sportsbook bettors can make more money because:

  • Souring gambling revenues means more aggressive promotions
  • Sportsbook already consider now their make or break time to get good customers like you playing
  • Bookies are more concerned with managing both sides of the line than controlling the action
  • Most bettors can't wrap their head around reality and tend to bet based on media hype
  • Inconsistent betting play now will lead to better long term bonuses being offered to you

This is all about sportsbooks being to wrapped up in trying to get deposits and not being able to properly manage their risk right now. If you avoid being type-cast by their systems and make a killing off erratic line movements, you will make a lot more money than you normally would.

Remember, you need to act like their most important player and get more ot of your experience. Bet smart. Bet like its a whole new analysis every time. Bet like you are playing to get into the playoffs, not to win just this week.

Enjoy the NFL season kick-off and start your research as soon as possible so you don't get caught up in the hype.

7Sep/090

Make the most money possible out of sportsbooks with NFL betting: week 1

The wait is over.
The Brett soap opera is resolved (until next year).
The teams have made their marketing pitches and changed Jerseys for no reason.
Rookies and returning vets are being projected to put in huge numbers.
Analysts have made their predictions.
Bookies have set their title run lines and team handicaps.

But guess what....

After week 2, it all gets thrown out the window. The NFL is the biggest hype machine outside of US presidential politics. Wild claims, innuendo, regional preferences, and vague things like 'chemistry' and 'hustle' set the betting lines at sportsbooks now... not the actual results.

This is when smart bettors must take advantage of bookmakers to make the most off their NFL bets. Yes bookies do their research and have team informants letting them know of any line-up changes, BUT, online sportsbooks are financial institutions ahead of actual win-loss projectors.

If you want to win more from online sportsbooks this season, remember what we always say here at www.linemovements.com, use every advantage possible to leverage books against one another, manage your money to get the most out of bonuses, and most importantly, leverage actual bets vs. media hype.

Smart bettors do not get caught up in media hype. Smart bettors do not leave all their cash at one sportsbook. Smart bettors do not have consistent betting habits. As soon as you fall into the trap of following patterns, favorites, or bonus offers - you'll end up 10-50% less wealthy than you could have been if you leveraged every opportunity strategically.

We'll be back in few days to get into some of these much more detailed.
Do your research and we'll start making money on this NFL season.

3Sep/090

Gambling Revenues Dropping Globally means more $$

The news is everywhere. Both International gambling giants, Vegas heavyweights, and government-run lottery divisions are reporting big drops in revenue.

Whether your betting online, in Atlantic City, or just playing scratch & win cards, these big drops mean expanded opportunities for smart bettors.

If you want to make more money from these big shifts in the gambling world, make your voice heard.

  • Vegas: Make it clear to hosts that you're here to INCREASE your average betting habits but that they need to earn the right of hosting YOU
  • Online Sportsbooks / Online Casinos: VIP player managers and on the hunt for any players that will show consistent play, continued deposits, or refers new players. Again, they need to earn that right from you. Online casino bonuses are cut-throat, so if your current sportsbook won't give you a big enough deposit bonus, then move to someone who will give you a bigger sign-up bonus. Shopping your deposit is your right and these guys will sell their mother for a great player like you that consistently deposits.
  • Regional lotteries: They have the least flexibility to offer you more. What you will get would be better odds on the jackpot, or often access to special promotions that they will use to generate more play. Stay on your email and you might get early shots at great contests or package purchase bonuses.

31Jul/091

Betting advantage from today’s MLB trade deadline!

Today is quite possibly the most advantageous day for MLB betting all year. Teams are desperate to make the trades they need while still having to play a full slate of games. Many many teams will be under-manned today while their players are either held out or have new players trying to fill uncomfortable roles. Most players don't turn into CC Sabathia last year or Matt Holliday this year right away.

Because its a full slate of games, bookies can't take everything off the board. Take advantage of big moves and of big line movements when the deals happen or players are in transit/stuck in physicals/held out for trades that didn't happen. This is one of the best days of the year to bet on baseball at online sportsbooks.

29Jul/090

Making money from the MLB trade deadline

For sports bettors that want to make money from the Major League Baseball trade deadline, it's usually something that's made hard to cash in on.

While a few sportsbooks do actually offer lines on players to be traded, most of them either have very few players listed or the lines up for such short times that they are impossible to bet on.

Don't let the bookies mess with you. With every trade there's an opportunity to make some real cash.

  1. Bet on futures immediately after the trade is made if you feel this team is now a top pick
  2. Bet against teams that will have players held out when making their trade
  3. Work the peripherals of the trade impacts, whether its the AAA game that is effected, the team that lost out on the trade, or player props that might be effected

Sportsbook bookies aren't good enough to stay on top of all these facts all the time. Find the gaps, expose them, and make money betting on line movements.

  1. Do your research on how this player will perform in the new surrounds/effect team morale

21Jul/090

MLB Betting opportunities: July 21

Late games stand to have to have the most line movement because bettors might be running their luck or trying to win back their earlier losses.

Want to use betting line movements to win more from sportsbooks on Wednesday July 21? Bet on the late game: Reds vs. Dodgers @ 10:10pm local. As the only late game it should be victim to even more late adjustments from the bookies managing the risk on this bet. Also, the Dodgers will have Chad Billingsley starting who's erratic recent play makes it even harder for the sportsbooks to feel confident on their lines.