Betting impact of MLB teams clinching the playoffs
As much as the sports radio and tv want to keep talking about the Major League Baseball playoff races as being still active, almost every single one of them is done.
When looking at the standings the AL Central Detroit vs. Minnesota race is the only one with a real shot of turning into an all-out war 'til the last game.
What bettors and line movement specialists need to know is that as much as the media want every other divisional race not to be over, they are. If you want to make money of line movements over these last weeks of the baseball betting season, follow these instructions to pin-point your next winning wager.
- Isolate teams with injuries, they are most likely to sit key players (Boston)
- Target teams which will sit players in case of blow-outs, bad weather conditions, or have absolutely no change of missing the playoffs (St Louis)
- Find key pitchers who are reaching pitch-counts or need to rest to be effective in the playoffs (Beckett, Joba, Carpenter)
- Pinpoint the teams that have a bench full high value rookies or very valuable veterans that need to get into the rotation before the playoffs start (St-Louis, Colorado, Boston)
Once you've done these things, bettors that want to make money from MLB line movements now have a simple recipe for success:
- Follow weather conditions the night before, this will impact the line-up
- Keep an ear out for pitch-count talk from the coaching staff and decide how much that should effect the bet
- Monitor starting line-ups about 30-90 minutes before game-time. If key players are sitting and you see a good money-making opportunity, jump on it.
- Place your bets and wait to win.
Bet on UFC 103 / Bet on Mayweather vs Marquez
Saturday September 19th
A huge night for MMA and boxing bettors, much more than for actual MMA and boxing fans. While both events may not be the top-of-the-line match ups that the general public choose ahead of football or playoff-hunt baseball, these are the types of events that will make bettors consider putting their money on something other than betting NFL, betting NCAA, or betting MLB.
We don't want to sound like we're beating a dead horse here, but these overwhelming weekends of sports are the ideal scenarios for smart bettors like you to increase your bank roll and carry even more money into the meat of the NFL betting season.
Line movements depend on a highly excited public and with these events being hidden below a few layers of competing league PR offices, either the event lines will be managed poorly or they the action will be overweight against the general expectations of the action. The undercard on this UFC event may only receive 50-100 wagers at most online sportsbooks and that leaves alot of room for aggressive betting behaviour if you can target poor lines or lines that have moved strictly to cover.
Keep your eyes on the newswire and insider updates because you are likely to be able ot adjust your betting tactic off of breaking news much faster than bookies would be able to move the betting line.
Expanded rosters means expanded opportunities
Its that time of year... September. The dreaded end of summer and for MLB players its when hopes have been pretty much squashed. Here's a very important thing to consider for all MLB bettors... September 1 is the day rosters get expanded and a massive amount of call-ups will be made from the farm.
What this means to the average MLB bettor:
- GM's around the league just tossed many jokers into the decks of bookies
- Some of the most talented players in the league finally will get their playing time
- Playoff bound teams take the foot off the gas and coast to October
- Players you have never heard of will dominate stat sheets in ways you wouldn't expect
Expect this final month of the season to toss sportsbooks for a loss. No one can gauge the kind of energy new players can bring even to the most horrible of situations (check the Rangers last year) or just how poorly veterans can waste at-bats and pitches if they're thinking about the playoffs.
Teams like The Mets, Cubs, Brewers might have new life, so make sure to keep an eye on it and poorly set lines.
Weds Aug 12: Bet on the best MLB pitching match-ups
Wednesday August 12 is shoping up to be a huge day for baseball bettors at online sportsbooks.
Today's schedule of games is dominated by some of the best pitchers in the game today: Lincecum, Burnett, Beckett, Nolasco, Liriano, Carpenter, Buerhle, Felix Hernandez
As much as this makes for great games to watch, it makes for even games to bet on mainly because these are game-changing pitchers who can sway bettors and create line movements that vary from bookie to bookie at online sportsbooks.
Keep track of these movements, find your opportunity, and then cash in to make money betting on baseball.
Betting advantage from today’s MLB trade deadline!
Today is quite possibly the most advantageous day for MLB betting all year. Teams are desperate to make the trades they need while still having to play a full slate of games. Many many teams will be under-manned today while their players are either held out or have new players trying to fill uncomfortable roles. Most players don't turn into CC Sabathia last year or Matt Holliday this year right away.
Because its a full slate of games, bookies can't take everything off the board. Take advantage of big moves and of big line movements when the deals happen or players are in transit/stuck in physicals/held out for trades that didn't happen. This is one of the best days of the year to bet on baseball at online sportsbooks.
Making money from the MLB trade deadline
For sports bettors that want to make money from the Major League Baseball trade deadline, it's usually something that's made hard to cash in on.
While a few sportsbooks do actually offer lines on players to be traded, most of them either have very few players listed or the lines up for such short times that they are impossible to bet on.
Don't let the bookies mess with you. With every trade there's an opportunity to make some real cash.
- Bet on futures immediately after the trade is made if you feel this team is now a top pick
- Bet against teams that will have players held out when making their trade
- Work the peripherals of the trade impacts, whether its the AAA game that is effected, the team that lost out on the trade, or player props that might be effected
Sportsbook bookies aren't good enough to stay on top of all these facts all the time. Find the gaps, expose them, and make money betting on line movements.
- Do your research on how this player will perform in the new surrounds/effect team morale
MLB Betting opportunities: July 21
Late games stand to have to have the most line movement because bettors might be running their luck or trying to win back their earlier losses.
Want to use betting line movements to win more from sportsbooks on Wednesday July 21? Bet on the late game: Reds vs. Dodgers @ 10:10pm local. As the only late game it should be victim to even more late adjustments from the bookies managing the risk on this bet. Also, the Dodgers will have Chad Billingsley starting who's erratic recent play makes it even harder for the sportsbooks to feel confident on their lines.