Why week 3’s NFL upsets will help you become a better sports bettor
Yes NFL week 3 did not go very well for many NFL bettors.
Yes you probably feel like the time the hot blond rejected you even after you bought her 5 drinks.
Yes the zombie MVP Brett Favre might have been the single reason you're eating $0.99 burgers today instead of a 32 oz steak.
Yes the Broncos, Titans, Lions, and Dolphins all threw a wrench into parlays, if bets, and teasers that looked great on paper.
Yes your winning streak might have come to a halt and your bankroll took a big enough hit for you to re-consider how you evaluate sports betting.
Just always remember that the NFL is one of the most unpredictable betting environments possible. With a limited schedule, injuries and weather both having such an impact, there is much more to consider than with basketball or baseball betting.
What you need to remember after a losing week so you can earn more cash from betting:
- Losses happen. Even the Patriots perfect team lost, Jordan never reached 80pts, the biggest payrolls in MLB don't guarantee wins, and Tiger is the best golfer in the world only 1/3 of the time. Statistics determine probability but can not pre-determine.
- The most powerful tool to deal with losses #1: Strong bankroll management skills like the ones we preach on linemovement.com dealing with controlling the line and balancing bets against popular support
- The most powerful tool to deal with losses #2: Very granular understanding of all circumstances related to the game including injuries, weather, situational trends, team morale, media weight on the team, coaching staff familiarity with the opposing style. Again we insist that to be a good bettor you are a master of knowing these types of facts, not the facts that drive media stories on ESPN about a single player or pointless drama.
- Monday Night Football betting and becomes even more valuable an unbalanced after an upset week. When players lose they don't know how to deal with it and need to prove to themselves they can win it back, fast. This leads to irrational bets being put on the Monday Night Football game. The betting line on tonight's game will move plenty, so keep your eye on it, monitor the stats that matter and use your football line movement skills to reduce the risk and maximize your betting winnings.
Week 3: Your best NFL betting opportunity
I can't even believe we're already on the door step of week 3 of this NFL betting season. All of you are familiar with the big story lines.... Cassel & Romo disappointing, Pats looking weak, the Titans under-whelming....
But if you read linemovement.com it's pretty clear that you are more than an average football bettor. You know the facts, data, trends, and purpose behind online sports betting. And more importantly, you know that line movements will make you money this season along with big sportsbook bonuses.
To make money betting on NFL week 3, keep an eye on the top match-ups because their lines are most controlled by the sways of the heard of the ESPN audience... not the bettors that know how to win.
This weekend monitor these games:
- Bet on Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Bet on Indianapolis Colts vs. Arizona Cardinals
- Bet on New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills
The nation will be betting all over the place this weekend and if they follow any running stories about Drew Brees, Kurt Warner, or Jake Delhomme... they might move the line enough for you to reduce your risk and maximize your reward.
If you haven't aleady picked an online sportsbook, sign up now and get the biggest bonus you will find.
Make the most money possible out of sportsbooks with NFL betting: week 1 pt2
Ok, we're here. Season kick-off and www.linemovement.com is going to help you win more money from sportsbooks and stretch your online betting dollar.
As mentioned in part one, your advantage with NFL betting is highest now. Smart sportsbook bettors can make more money because:
- Souring gambling revenues means more aggressive promotions
- Sportsbook already consider now their make or break time to get good customers like you playing
- Bookies are more concerned with managing both sides of the line than controlling the action
- Most bettors can't wrap their head around reality and tend to bet based on media hype
- Inconsistent betting play now will lead to better long term bonuses being offered to you
This is all about sportsbooks being to wrapped up in trying to get deposits and not being able to properly manage their risk right now. If you avoid being type-cast by their systems and make a killing off erratic line movements, you will make a lot more money than you normally would.
Remember, you need to act like their most important player and get more ot of your experience. Bet smart. Bet like its a whole new analysis every time. Bet like you are playing to get into the playoffs, not to win just this week.
Enjoy the NFL season kick-off and start your research as soon as possible so you don't get caught up in the hype.
linemovement.com is where sports bettors go to stay ahead of the game.
Great betting tips, insider news on how bookmaking works, learn how to make money off line movement, tips on making more money from betting sports. There's always a way to make more money from sportsbooks and linemovement.com is where you learn to increase your bankroll the smart way.
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