Why week 3’s NFL upsets will help you become a better sports bettor
Yes NFL week 3 did not go very well for many NFL bettors.
Yes you probably feel like the time the hot blond rejected you even after you bought her 5 drinks.
Yes the zombie MVP Brett Favre might have been the single reason you're eating $0.99 burgers today instead of a 32 oz steak.
Yes the Broncos, Titans, Lions, and Dolphins all threw a wrench into parlays, if bets, and teasers that looked great on paper.
Yes your winning streak might have come to a halt and your bankroll took a big enough hit for you to re-consider how you evaluate sports betting.
Just always remember that the NFL is one of the most unpredictable betting environments possible. With a limited schedule, injuries and weather both having such an impact, there is much more to consider than with basketball or baseball betting.
What you need to remember after a losing week so you can earn more cash from betting:
- Losses happen. Even the Patriots perfect team lost, Jordan never reached 80pts, the biggest payrolls in MLB don't guarantee wins, and Tiger is the best golfer in the world only 1/3 of the time. Statistics determine probability but can not pre-determine.
- The most powerful tool to deal with losses #1: Strong bankroll management skills like the ones we preach on linemovement.com dealing with controlling the line and balancing bets against popular support
- The most powerful tool to deal with losses #2: Very granular understanding of all circumstances related to the game including injuries, weather, situational trends, team morale, media weight on the team, coaching staff familiarity with the opposing style. Again we insist that to be a good bettor you are a master of knowing these types of facts, not the facts that drive media stories on ESPN about a single player or pointless drama.
- Monday Night Football betting and becomes even more valuable an unbalanced after an upset week. When players lose they don't know how to deal with it and need to prove to themselves they can win it back, fast. This leads to irrational bets being put on the Monday Night Football game. The betting line on tonight's game will move plenty, so keep your eye on it, monitor the stats that matter and use your football line movement skills to reduce the risk and maximize your betting winnings.