Dieter’s Dive Week 11. On Hill.

Dropping Dimes

All week my Twitter timeline has been littered with one thing: Taysom Hill.

But it’s all DFS guys complaining about the fact he’s available as a tight end.

You see, the funny part is that Hill, a Saints’ try-it-all player, is going to be the team’s starting quarterback. Of course, if you could get quarterback production in the tight end spot, you’ll take it.

But can Hill provide enough quarterback production to win the Saints a game?

That, I seriously doubt.

Supporters, including Saints coach Sean Payton, point to Hill’s preseason performance in 2019 as a reason why he can be successful as a full-time quarterback. He went 40 of 59 for 443 yards and three touchdowns (one interception) in the exhibition schedule last year.

That, plus rushing ability, isn’t just good quarterback play — it’s elite quarterback play.

But that’s also preseason. Don’t discount it, but don’t build it up.

And don’t think that a 30-year-old who has attempted 18 passes in his career — he has more tackles than completions — is deserving of being a favorite in his first NFL start at the position.

Atlanta has all sorts of problems — they’re on an interim coach, after all — but they have offensive weaponry. The Saints’ defense might be impressive, but I think that Atlanta can score on them.

But can the Saints keep up with that when they have a tight end at quarterback? (Yes, even against the Falcons?)

I’m not betting on it.

Atlanta +3 at New Orleans

Line Movement’s Bets Against The Spread

Other bets I like this week

Titans +6.5 at Ravens

» The Titans run defense or pass rush isn’t much to talk about, but I do like their coverage. And going into this week, there are reasons to love that secondary. Desmond King in the slot? Yes, please. He’s perpetually underrated. Adoree Jackson back in the fold? Absolutely.

A road dog in 2020? You know I’m in on that.

We’re yet to see Lamar Jackson stand in the pocket and pick apart a defense. Against some teams, that’s fine — the Ravens can just run and run and run and hit teams over the top for big passing gains on nine routes and it isn’t an issue. Truth be told, Tennessee might be one of those teams.

But if they are not — if they can cobble together enough run stops to force the Ravens to pass — Baltimore could be in serious trouble. I don’t think their receivers can separate from this Tennessee secondary and Lamar scrambling can’t be the basis of a viable offense.

All season long, we’ve wondered when Baltimore is going to turn it on. It’s a fair question — on paper, their talent is on par or better than any team in the league. But we’re in Week 11. If this isn’t the week they find their game, it’s probably time to admit that this team is an underachiever — that all that talent hasn’t jelled.

Raiders at Chiefs -7

This is a simple analysis. The Raiders’ defense stinks and has not been able to practice. Kansas City’s offense is awesome and is coming off a bye.

I know the Raider beat the Chiefs the last time they played, but man, I’ve seen these two teams match up too many times to not know that was a one-off.

The Raiders’ quarters defense is begging to be hit over the top. The Chiefs have a reason to try from the get-go — they want to avenge that loss.

This has all the makings of a bloodbath on national television. Be on the right side of it.

Dropping Dimes